The graph records entities, events, relationships, and their supporting context. It is designed to help trace possible transmission paths while keeping claims, observations, and hypotheses distinct.
Wheat SHIPS_VIA Black Sea — 998c7b77-51da-44eb-b7c2-d787fcf60e0b; 2 source-news IDs.
Edges shown are recorded in the public snapshot; they are not independently verified causal effects.
What the graph holds
More than arrows.
Some relationships describe physical flows, such as production or supply. Others describe capital and obligations. Some record where a person works or where an entity is located. Events and their reported effects form another layer.
Only relationships with an explicit transmission meaning should participate in a propagation calculation. A descriptive edge remains useful for search and context without becoming a causal shortcut.
Important distinction A graph path suggests a mechanism worth investigating. It does not establish that an intervention would cause the same result, or that an asset will move in a predicted direction.
How to examine an answer
Ask three questions.
01 / MEANING
What does each edge mean?
Check direction, relationship type, scope, and whether the link is descriptive or part of a proposed transmission route.
02 / EVIDENCE
What supports it?
Follow sources, provenance, time context, and counterevidence. A cited statement and a measured effect are not interchangeable.
03 / VALIDATION
What happened before?
Where historical testing exists, examine the sample and misses alongside any summary statistic.